Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers (8:00 pm et)
3-DIME NBA POD (1-2 THIS YEAR on NBA POD)[/]
[size=150:3fbupsub][color=#FF0000:3fbupsub]Freddy Wills's Pick[/][/color:3fbupsub][/size:3fbupsub]
Take Pacers -1 3-Dime POD[/]
I'm going with the Pacers in this situation. The Heat may have the better talent, but I don't think they can score enough points to keep pace with the Pacers who have a great offense. Danny Granger is as good as any in the league at putting the ball in the hoop.
Heat have lost 14 straight in Indiana and are 5-34 in their history here. For whatever reason they just don't play well in a game last year they lost to Indiana twice 90-88, and 114-103 in Indiana. Pacers have a great balance with Troy Murphy down low and Granger from the perimeter. I don't think the Heat can expect the same thing they got against New York in what was a perfect balance from their trio of players O'Neal, Wade, and Beasley who all scored 20+ and as a team they shot over 50%.
Indiana to me was more impressive in their road loss against one of the Eastern conference favorites the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks were up by just 1 going into the 4th, and the Pacers just managed 5 points in the 4th period. The story were the turn overs and they'll have that corrected here at home.
NOTE: With 58% of the action on the Heat the line that opened up at -1 is moving to -1.5 and 2 all over the place.
